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May 19, 2026 - 11:47 AM

Primaries, Godfathers, and the Illusion of Political Ownership

In the lexicon of Nigerian politics, “structure” is spoken of as though it were a permanent monument, an immovable fortress built by veteran kingmakers and burgeoned over time through years of patronage, then handed down to political mentees like an ancestral estate. But as the ongoing party primaries have repeatedly shown, political structure in Nigeria is not an inherited monument. It is a rented apartment. And the moment a handpicked successor takes the oath of office, the sitting governor does not simply change the locks; he quietly begins to own the entire building from within.

What follows is rarely loud or dramatic at first. It unfolds in slow administrative shifts, almost imperceptible to those not watching closely. The networks that once appeared solid begin to loosen at the edges. Delegates recalibrate their loyalties without announcement. Local operators adjust their orientation toward the Government House not out of ideological conversion, but out of the simple mathematics of survival. In time, what once looked like a fixed political empire begins to behave like something fluid, constantly reorganizing itself around the nearest center of authority.

We are currently witnessing this quiet but ruthless political earthquake across the federation. In several states, veteran political godfathers who once spoke with the confidence of absolute territorial control are waking up to an uncomfortable reality: their carefully curated delegate lists are no longer decisive, their grassroots enforcers are no longer anchored, and their preferred candidates are being steadily outmaneuvered on the convention floors by the simple weight of executive incumbency.

This is because in Nigerian politics, political structure is never truly owned. It is only temporarily stabilized around whoever controls executive power at any given moment.

Nowhere is this pattern more visible, more instructive, and more revealing than in Benue State, where the struggle for influence within the ruling structure has brought into sharp relief the tension between the executive machinery of Governor Hyacinth Alia and the long-established political network associated with the Secretary to the Government of the Federation, Senator George Akume.

The misunderstanding that repeatedly destabilizes political godfathers is simple but persistent. It is the belief that once a candidate is elevated through a political structure, that candidate remains permanently bound to it. In this assumption, sponsorship becomes ownership and gratitude becomes a governing principle. But political power rarely obeys such expectations once it enters the domain of executive office.

The moment a governor assumes authority, the environment changes. Executive power does not share its center easily. It draws institutions, actors, and incentives toward itself until decision making, patronage, and survival begin to orbit a single point. What once looked like a distributed network of influence gradually becomes a centralized system of control anchored in the Government House.

This is not simply ambition. It is structural necessity. In a system where access determines survival, every actor is forced to orient themselves toward the location where decisions are made. Local politicians understand this instinctively. They do not need theory to interpret where authority resides. They read it in appointments, in resource allocation, and in the speed at which relevance is gained or lost.

Loyalty in such a system is not ideological. It is infrastructural.

This is why political structures that appear durable during campaigns often weaken shortly after power is secured. What looks like stability is often only temporary alignment under shared expectation. Once executive authority is activated, those expectations are recalibrated. The system begins to reorganize itself around whoever controls the immediate flow of influence.

In Benue, this logic is expressed through the gradual consolidation of political authority around the Government House. The struggle is not merely personal or factional. It is about the location of control within the political ecosystem. As authority concentrates within the executive arm of the state, older networks of influence lose their capacity to independently determine outcomes at scale.

Yet this is not unique to Benue. It reflects a broader pattern in Nigerian politics where governors, once in office, must confront a structural reality: governing requires control not only of administration, but of political survival itself. The pressure to stabilize authority, manage internal party cohesion, and secure future electoral viability inevitably draws power inward.

This process is rarely announced. It unfolds gradually. Influence shifts first in administrative coordination, then in local party alignment, and finally in the broader political architecture of the state. What begins as cooperation becomes hierarchy. What begins as shared victory becomes centralized command.

Across Nigeria’s political history, this cycle repeats with striking consistency. Political godfathers emerge as architects of electoral success, constructing alliances and mobilizing networks that secure victory. But once power is transferred into the hands of a governor, the logic of governance begins to transform the relationship between both actors.

The governor does not simply inherit authority. The governor inherits a system that must be stabilized. Stability, in turn, demands consolidation. And consolidation gradually reduces dependence on external centers of influence until the structure of power reflects only the logic of the office itself.

This is the paradox at the center of Nigerian political life. Structures are created to distribute power, but power, once activated, tends to absorb the very structures that produced it.

This raises a deeper institutional question. When godfather networks weaken, it is often interpreted as a shift toward independence or reform. Yet what follows is not always decentralization. In many cases, it is consolidation within a single executive center, where party machinery, legislative alignment, and local structures increasingly reflect one source of authority.

The disappearance of competing centers of influence does not automatically produce balance. It can produce uniformity. And uniformity, in political systems, often reflects control rather than openness.

This is why Nigerian politics rarely settles into equilibrium. It oscillates between dispersion and consolidation. Power fragments during competition, then reassembles rapidly around whoever occupies executive office. The system continuously cycles between multiplicity and concentration without achieving permanent stability.

Over time, this produces a consistent outcome. Political loyalty becomes increasingly shaped by access rather than memory. It follows proximity to decision making rather than history of association. The closer an actor is to authority, the more secure their position becomes. The further away they are, the faster their relevance declines.

This is the underlying logic that governs the entire system.

In the end, what appears as the rise and fall of political godfathers is less a story of victory and defeat than a continuous adjustment within the same system of power. The networks remain, the actors remain, and the ambitions remain. What changes is only the center of gravity around which they are arranged.

This is why Nigerian political structures rarely collapse in the dramatic sense. They shift. They relocate. They reorganize themselves around whoever, at any given moment, occupies the authority of the state.

The godfather does not necessarily lose relevance because his influence disappears. He loses it because influence in such a system is not fixed in individuals or history. It is constantly reassigned by proximity to executive power. Once that proximity changes, the structure adjusts without resistance, as though it had always been waiting for the next arrangement.

What this reveals is not a break in the system, but the system itself. Political loyalty, in this environment, is not anchored in permanence. It is anchored in access. And access, by its nature, does not remember. It responds.

So the illusion of ownership persists only as long as power remains out of reach. The moment it is reached, everything presumed to be stable begins to reorganize itself again.

In that sense, Nigerian political structures are never truly possessed. They are only ever temporarily aligned with the office that controls access to them, until the next shift begins and the arrangement quietly changes once more.

And what is called influence is simply the brief advantage of sitting closest to the source before it moves.

 

Stephanie Shaakaa

08034861434

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