Human rights activist and lawyer Deji Adeyanju has predicted that President Bola Tinubu would defeat former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar in January, arguing that the incumbent has the political strength to secure at least 25 per cent of the votes in every state across Nigeria.
Adeyanju made the prediction in a Facebook post on Friday, October 23, 2026, in which he highlighted what he considers a major advantage for Tinubu over other potential contenders.
According to the activist, Tinubu could achieve the 25 per cent threshold in all 36 states of the federation, including Adamawa, Anambra, Kano and Oyo, regardless of their differing political dynamics.
“I see Tinubu defeating Atiku in January because of many reasons but let me highlight only one today. Tinubu will get 25% votes in every state in Nigeria including Adamawa, Anambra, Kano and Oyo. No other candidate can pull such numbers,” Adeyanju wrote.
He further urged his followers to pay close attention to his argument, ending the post with the statement: “Read this carefully again.”
Adeyanju’s prediction places emphasis on Tinubu’s potential nationwide reach, suggesting that the president could secure a significant spread of votes across regions where opposition parties also have considerable political influence.
However, the post represents Adeyanju’s political assessment, and his prediction has yet to be tested against actual electoral results. The outcome of any future contest will depend on the candidates, campaign strategies, voter turnout and other factors that shape electoral contests in Nigeria.
